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=Market Analysis and Design Basis=
=Market Analysis and Design Basis=


The Marcellus shale in the northeastern states contains the largest reserve of natural gas in America. It is estimated that 141 trillion cubic feet of gas reserves are present in the Marcellus shale.6 Gas production in the Marcellus shale was insignificant before 2008, but has rapidly risen to be one of the most important areas in the American energy industry with over 14 billion cubic feet of gas being extracted every day in 2014. As a result of this rapid energy boom in the Marcellus shale region, gas processing infrastructure has not been able to keep up with the amount of gas being extracted and much of the processing that is done to the raw shale gas occurs on refineries located in either the east coast or the gulf coast.  
The Marcellus shale in the northeastern states contains the largest reserve of natural gas in America. It is estimated that 141 trillion cubic feet of gas reserves are present in the Marcellus shale (Chang & You, 2014). Gas production in the Marcellus shale was insignificant before 2008, but has rapidly risen to be one of the most important areas in the American energy industry with over 14 billion cubic feet of gas being extracted every day in 2014 (EIA, 2013). As a result of this rapid energy boom in the Marcellus shale region, gas processing infrastructure has not been able to keep up with the amount of gas being extracted and much of the processing that is done to the raw shale gas occurs on refineries located in either the east coast or the gulf coast.  


Due to the infant nature of gas processing infrastructure in the Marcellus region, it is very attractive to build a processing plant directly on the Marcellus shale. Eastern Ohio provides a good location for a new large scale gas processing plant due to the presence of several major pipelines (which West Virginia lacks) and favorable taxes. Ohio has a gross receipts tax of 0.26% compared to a 9.99% corporate tax rate in Pennsylvania and a 7.1% rate in New York. Ohio is also a good location for a large capital investment due to generally lax hydraulic fracturing regulations compared to other more progressive states in the Marcellus shale. Stark County is an ideal location within Ohio due to lower county taxes (6.50%) and its close proximity to Pittsburgh, where most existing wells are located. Stark county also has the added benefit of having existing gas pipeline infrastructure running through it, minimizing potential capital expenditure.
Due to the infant nature of gas processing infrastructure in the Marcellus region, it is very attractive to build a processing plant directly on the Marcellus shale. Eastern Ohio provides a good location for a new large scale gas processing plant due to the presence of several major pipelines (which West Virginia lacks) and favorable taxes. Ohio has a gross receipts tax of 0.26% compared to a 9.99% corporate tax rate in Pennsylvania and a 7.1% rate in New York (Ohio Dept. of Taxation, 2010). Ohio is also a good location for a large capital investment due to generally lax hydraulic fracturing regulations compared to other more progressive states in the Marcellus shale. Stark County is an ideal location within Ohio due to lower county taxes (6.50%) and its close proximity to Pittsburgh, where most existing wells are located. Stark county also has the added benefit of having existing gas pipeline infrastructure running through it, minimizing potential capital expenditure.
   
   
Due to the size of the immense reserves in the Marcellus shale and the void of natural gas processing plants, a large volume plant would be demanded to cope with the rising number of shale wells. Current liquefied natural gas (LNG) plants in the northeast can process 60,000 barrels per day (bpd) while production of gas from the Marcellus shale in 2016 is forecast to exceed 650,000 bpd.6 Due to this large discrepancy between projected production and existing capacity, a large gulf coast LNG plant was used for capacity determination (Freeport, Texas LNG terminal will refine up to 2.1 bcf of gas per day). By this comparison and the capability of the market to handle large volumes of ethylene production, the plant should be designed for the processing of 2 billion cubic feet (38 MM kg) of raw shale gas per day.  Current use of ethylene is around 156 million tonnes/year worldwide. Targeting around 1% of this market would yield a plant producing around 1.5 million tonnes of ethylene per year, which is also near the size of larger plants in Texas. These large Gulf plants were used because the Marcellus shale region is underdeveloped so a comparison to existing plants in the region would fail to account for forecasted growth in the area.
Due to the size of the immense reserves in the Marcellus shale and the void of natural gas processing plants, a large volume plant would be demanded to cope with the rising number of shale wells. Current liquefied natural gas (LNG) plants in the northeast can process 60,000 barrels per day (bpd) while production of gas from the Marcellus shale in 2016 is forecast to exceed 650,000 bpd (EIA, 2013). Due to this large discrepancy between projected production and existing capacity, a large gulf coast LNG plant was used for capacity determination (Freeport, Texas LNG terminal will refine up to 2.1 bcf of gas per day). By this comparison and the capability of the market to handle large volumes of ethylene production, the plant should be designed for the processing of 2 billion cubic feet (38 MM kg) of raw shale gas per day.  Current use of ethylene is around 156 million tonnes/year worldwide. Targeting around 1% of this market would yield a plant producing around 1.5 million tonnes of ethylene per year, which is also near the size of larger plants in Texas. These large Gulf plants were used because the Marcellus shale region is underdeveloped so a comparison to existing plants in the region would fail to account for forecasted growth in the area.


Currently, a weak energy market threatens production of oil and gas from the Marcellus shale. A supply glut of oil has led to greatly reduced oil prices and a decline in investment in non-traditional oil fields such as shale oil. Higher production costs of shale oil reduce profitability when compared to cheaper drilling in the Middle East. Along with the decline in oil prices, natural gas and refined products such as ethylene have also experience dramatic fall in prices. It is important to consider the instability in oil prices when analyzing the benefit of a large, long term capital investment. Sustained low oil prices will reduce investment in the Marcellus shale region and will decrease gas production volumes. Despite these risks, the large gap in gas production and gas processing capacity in the Marcellus shale indicate that there is a market for a new gas purification plant.  
Currently, a weak energy market threatens production of oil and gas from the Marcellus shale. A supply glut of oil has led to greatly reduced oil prices and a decline in investment in non-traditional oil fields such as shale oil. Higher production costs of shale oil reduce profitability when compared to cheaper drilling in the Middle East. Along with the decline in oil prices, natural gas and refined products such as ethylene have also experience dramatic fall in prices. It is important to consider the instability in oil prices when analyzing the benefit of a large, long term capital investment. Sustained low oil prices will reduce investment in the Marcellus shale region and will decrease gas production volumes. Despite these risks, the large gap in gas production and gas processing capacity in the Marcellus shale indicate that there is a market for a new gas purification plant.  
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| 13,300
| 13,300
|-
|-
| Processed Natural Gas
| Pipeline Quality Natural Gas  
| < 11,000
| < 11,000
|-
|-
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=Process Technologies and Alternatives=
=Process Technologies and Alternatives=
===Natural Gas Processing===
Raw shale gas pipelined from reservoir or wellheads is first flash separated into oil and gas components. Next, the gas goes through an acid gas absorption process using amine solvent technology. The sour gas goes through sulfur recovery and tail gas cleanup processes to convert hydrogen sulfide to elemental sulfur. The sweet gas has water vapor can be removed (dehydration) by adsorption with liquid triethylene glycol or by using molecular sieves (Chang & You, 2013) The dry gas is then cryogenically distilled to separate NGLs from methane. The methane must be cryogenically distilled again to remove excess nitrogen before being sold as sales gas for heating. In order to isolate the ethane from other NGLs, a series of distillation columns are used in a fractionation train. The ethane is then pipelined to a local ethylene plant to be converted to ethylene.
===Steam Cracking===
===Steam Cracking===
Steam cracking to produce olefins has been the industry standard for decades, but many process details can be tweaked for specific production goals. Steam cracking involves diluting saturated hydrocarbons with steam and heating up to high temperatures in the absence of oxygen to produce smaller hydrocarbons and unsaturated olefins. Factors such as temperature, pressure, and residence time all have effects on the cracking reaction.
Steam cracking to produce olefins has been the industry standard for decades, but many process details can be tweaked for specific production goals. Steam cracking involves diluting saturated hydrocarbons with steam and heating up to high temperatures in the absence of oxygen to produce smaller hydrocarbons and unsaturated olefins. Factors such as temperature, pressure, and residence time all have effects on the cracking reaction (Tao, 2006).


One of the most important considerations is selectivity of cracked products. Heavy hydrocarbons readily decompose to various molecules, but even a highly pure stream of ethane can form many different molecules at high temperatures. This process focuses on maximizing the selectivity of ethylene product. Both temperature and residence time heavily affect the selectivity. Higher temperatures increase ethane conversion since ethane to ethylene is an equilibrium limited reaction, but it also decreases selectivity of ethylene. Furthermore, at high residence times, the reaction forms byproducts like acetylene and methane. It has been found that ideal conditions for ethylene selectivity are temperatures between 750 and 850 C and residence times of 200 to 500 milliseconds. It is important to quench the reactor effluent quickly to avoid continued reactions. To remove a vast amount of heat in a very short time, heavy heating oils are commonly injected into the effluent stream and separated later. Additionally, pressure plays a limited role in this reaction, but many literature sources and patents reference reaction pressures of 2 barg or 0.25 barg at the outlet.
One of the most important considerations is selectivity of cracked products. Heavy hydrocarbons readily decompose to various molecules, but even a highly pure stream of ethane can form many different molecules at high temperatures. This process focuses on maximizing the selectivity of ethylene product. Both temperature and residence time heavily affect the selectivity. Higher temperatures increase ethane conversion since ethane to ethylene is an equilibrium limited reaction, but it also decreases selectivity of ethylene (Kistiakowsky, 1951). Furthermore, at high residence times, the reaction forms byproducts like acetylene and methane. It has been found that ideal conditions for ethylene selectivity are temperatures between 750 and 850 C and residence times of 200 to 500 milliseconds (Woebcke, 1993). It is important to quench the reactor effluent quickly to avoid continued reactions. To remove a vast amount of heat in a very short time, heavy heating oils are commonly injected into the effluent stream and separated later. Additionally, pressure plays a limited role in this reaction, but many literature sources and patents reference reaction pressures of 2 barg or 0.25 barg at the outlet (Sims, 1999).


One alternative to steam cracking is microwave cracking. At laboratory scale, high conversions and high ethylene selectivity have been obtained. Rather than using a furnace to heat the gas, 2.45 GHz microwaves are capable of energy efficient heating. Although this technology is currently still in development, it has the potential to cut back on energy input costs of cracking applications in the future (SITE AICHE WEBSITE, in memo2).  
One alternative to steam cracking is microwave cracking. At laboratory scale, high conversions and high ethylene selectivity have been obtained. Rather than using a furnace to heat the gas, 2.45 GHz microwaves are capable of energy efficient heating. Although this technology is currently still in development, it has the potential to cut back on energy input costs of cracking applications in the future (Ceralink Inc., 2012).  
===Natural Gas Processing===
Raw shale gas pipelined from reservoir or wellheads is first flash separated into oil and gas components. Next, the gas goes through an acid gas absorption process using amine solvent technology. The sour gas goes through sulfur recovery and tail gas cleanup processes to convert hydrogen sulfide to elemental sulfur. The sweet gas has water vapor can be removed (dehydration) by adsorption with liquid triethylene glycol or by using molecular sieves.2 The dry gas is then cryogenically distilled to separate NGLs from methane. The methane must be cryogenically distilled again to remove excess nitrogen before being sold as sales gas for heating. In order to isolate the ethane from other NGLs, a series of distillation columns are used in a fractionation train. The ethane is then pipelined to a local ethylene plant to be converted to ethylene.


The process below integrates the ethylene plant with natural gas processing. Therefore, a front-end hydrogenation reactor is placed before the fractionation train to remove acetylene. This reactor may hold palladium, platinum, or rhodium catalyst, or may be replaced altogether with a selective absorber using DMF, NMP, or acetone. Additionally, another cryogenic distillation column is added to the fractionation train to isolate ethylene. Alternatively, ethylene can be absorbed with novel solvents such as CuCl/aniline/n-methyl pyrrolidone or AgNO3
The process below integrates the ethylene plant with natural gas processing. Therefore, a front-end hydrogenation reactor is placed before the fractionation train to remove acetylene. This reactor may hold palladium, platinum, or rhodium catalyst (Bos, 1993; Rylander, 2012), or may be replaced altogether with a selective absorber using DMF, NMP, or acetone (Institute Francais Du Petrole, 2012). Additionally, another cryogenic distillation column is added to the fractionation train to isolate ethylene. Alternatively, ethylene can be absorbed with novel solvents such as CuCl/aniline/n-methyl pyrrolidone or AgNO3.


=Process Overview=
=Process Overview=


Add Block Flow Diagram
Based on our analysis of technology alternatives and research into existing processes, the process was modeled after the following block flow diagram.
[[File:capture.jpg|700px|center]]


=Process Simulation=
=Process Simulation=
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===Variable Operating Costs===
===Variable Operating Costs===


The primary components of variable operating costs consisted of heating and cooling utilities, electricity costs from condensers and pumps, waste disposal costs, and raw material costs. After a heat exchanger network was developed and process heat recovery was optimized, total heating and cooling utility loads were extracted from ASPEN Energy Analyzer. Cost parameters for each type of utility were also estimated using data retrieved from ASPEN Energy Analyzer. Electricity costs were estimated using energy stream data from HYSYS and assuming a cost of electricity of $0.0662 per kW*hr - the average cost of industrial electricity in Ohio.
The primary components of variable operating costs consisted of heating and cooling utilities, electricity costs from condensers and pumps, waste disposal costs, and raw material costs. After a heat exchanger network was developed and process heat recovery was optimized, total heating and cooling utility loads were extracted from ASPEN Energy Analyzer. Cost parameters for each type of utility were also estimated using data retrieved from ASPEN Energy Analyzer. Electricity costs were estimated using energy stream data from HYSYS and assuming a cost of electricity of $0.0662 per kW*hr - the average cost of industrial electricity in Ohio (EIA, 2015).


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The final component of variable operating cost was the cost of raw materials and waste processing. Waste water treatment was assumed to cost $1.5 per metric ton (Towler). Our process inputs consist primarily of raw shale gas but also include water, MEA, and crude oil. The price of water was estimated from industrial water pricing in Ohio and the price of MEA was estimated using industrial suppliers from Alibaba. Raw shale gas costs can vary drastically depending on location, but were estimated using data from Morningstar’s energy observer. Wet gas costs in the Marcellus shale are among the cheapest in america and range from 1-3 dollars per thousand cubic feet of gas. Using the average value of $2 per thousand cubic feet, the cost per kilogram of raw shale gas was calculated.
The final component of variable operating cost was the cost of raw materials and waste processing. Waste water treatment was assumed to cost $1.5 per metric ton (Towler $ Sinnott, 2012). Our process inputs consist primarily of raw shale gas but also include water, MEA, and crude oil. The price of water was estimated from industrial water pricing in Ohio and the price of MEA was estimated using industrial suppliers from Alibaba. Raw shale gas costs can vary drastically depending on location, but were estimated using data from Morningstar’s energy observer (Morningstar, 2014). Wet gas costs in the Marcellus shale are among the cheapest in america and range from 1-3 dollars per thousand cubic feet of gas. Using the average value of $2 per thousand cubic feet, the cost per kilogram of raw shale gas was calculated.


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==Estimating Revenues==
==Estimating Revenues==
Due to the extreme volatility in commodities pricing, revenues were not projected to be constant over the lifetime of the plant. Revenues were estimated using current commodities prices and futures from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). Future revenue estimations are shown in Appendix VII. An example of revenue calculations using current prices is shown below.  
Due to the extreme volatility in commodities pricing, revenues were not projected to be constant over the lifetime of the plant. Revenues were estimated using current commodities prices and futures from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). Future revenue estimations are shown in Appendix VIII. An example of revenue calculations using current prices is shown below.  


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==Profitability Analysis==
==Profitability Analysis==


Once all cost estimations were completed, a discounted cash flow analysis was performed to examine the economic viability of the process. The discount rate and corporate tax rate used for our analysis was determined by averaging the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and corporate tax rates for a few large integrated oil and oil refining corporations. All data was retrieved via filings from the Securities and Exchange Commission. (Total S.A. was not included in the tax average due to an unusually high tax rate in 2014)
Once all cost estimations were completed, a discounted cash flow analysis was performed to examine the economic viability of the process. The discount rate and corporate tax rate used for our analysis was determined by averaging the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and corporate tax rates for a few large integrated oil and oil refining corporations. All data was retrieved via filings from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC, 2015). (Total S.A. was not included in the tax average due to an unusually high tax rate in 2014)


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[[File:Sensitivityanalysisnaturalgasprice.PNG|thumb|center|upright=3|NPV Sensitivity to Natural gas price fluctuations]]
[[File:Sensitivityanalysisnaturalgasprice.PNG|thumb|center|upright=3|NPV Sensitivity to Natural gas price fluctuations]]


If natural gas prices prices fall over 11%, the 12 year NPV will become negative. It is important to consider using financial instruments to hedge against commodity price declines and to ensure a positive net present value in a volatile future.  
If natural gas prices prices fall over 11%, the 12 year NPV will become negative. It is important to consider using financial instruments to hedge against commodity price declines and to ensure a positive net present value in a volatile future.
 


=Conclusion and Future Steps=
=Conclusion and Future Steps=
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=References=
=References=
#A Kinetic Modelling Study of Ethane Cracking for Optimal Ethylene Yield, Marco W. M. van Goethem, Simon Barendregt, Johan Grievink, Peter J. T. Verheijen, Mario Dente, and Eliseo Ranzi. Chemical Engineering Research & Design 2013, 91  (6), 1106–1110.
#Annual Energy Outlook 2014 Early Release Overview. U.S. Energy Information Administration. Available at: http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/er/index.cfm. Published December 16, 2013. Accessed January 16, 2015.
#A.N.R. Bos, K.R. Westerterp, Mechanism and kinetics of the selective hydrogenation of ethyne and ethene, Chemical Engineering and Processing: Process Intensification, Volume 32, Issue 1, February 1993, Pages 1-7, ISSN 0255-2701. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/025527019387001B
#BP Chemicals, (1999). Steam Cracking of Ethane-Rich and Propane-Rich Streams. 5,990,370.
#Ceralink Inc. MICROWAVE ENHANCED CRACKING OF ETHANE FOR ETHYLENE PRODUCTION http://www.ceralink.com/sites/default/files/MicrowaveCrackingofEthaneforEthyleneProductionPaper.pdf
#Chang He and Fengqi You. Shale Gas Processing Integrated with Ethylene Production: Novel Process Designs, Exergy Analysis, and Techno-Economic Analysis. Industrial & Engineering Chemisit try Research 2014 53 (28)
#Composition Variety Complicates Processing Plans for US Shale Gas. Bryan Research and Engineering Inc. https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=2&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CCUQFjAB&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bre.com%2Fportals%2F0%2Ftechnicalarticles%2FKeith%2520Bullin%2520-%2520Composition%2520Variety_%2520US%2520Shale%2520Gas.pdf&ei=iJK5VNDINsiBygT_oYHADQ&usg=AFQjCNHZN24hWnJ1py42hprY2D2ZktnhxQ&bvm=bv.83829542,d.aWw. Presented October 7, 2008.
#Electric Power Monthly. U.S. Energy Information Administration, n.d. Web. http://www.eia.gov/electricity/monthly/epm_table_grapher.cfm?t=epmt_5_6_a. 03 Mar. 2015.
#Energy Observer. Morningstar (2014): n. pag. Feb. 2014. Web. http://marcelluscoalition.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/Morning-Star_EnergyObserverFebruary2014.pdf 3 Mar. 2015.
#"Filings & Forms." SEC.gov. U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, n.d. Web. http://www.sec.gov/edgar.shtml#.VPZ5-_nF-uo 03 Mar. 2015.
#Kistiakowsky, G and Nickle, A. Ethane-Ethylene and Propane-Propylene Equilibrium, Discuss. Faraday Soc., 1951,10, 175-187
#Leading Plant Supply Monoethanolamine/mea 99.5% www.alibaba.com. Web. N.p., n.d. http://www.alibaba.com/product-detail/Leading-plant-supply-monoethanolamine-MEA-99_60105839973.html?s=p. 03 Mar. 2015.
#Ohio Corporation Franchise Tax Annual Report 2010. Ohio Department of Taxation. Available at: http://www.tax.ohio.gov/portals/0/communications/publications/annual_reports/2010_annual_report/corporation_franchise_tax. Published December 15, 2010. Accessed January 16, 2015.
#Paul Rylander. Catalytic Hydrogenation over Platinum Metals. https://books.google.com/books?id=NPgzMIHISv0C. Published 2012 \
#Process for separating ethane and ethylene by solvent absorption and hydrogenation of the solvent phase. Institute Francais Du Petrole. http://www.google.com/patents/US6358399. Published March 19, 2002.
#Sims D. Pre-fractionating the feedstock to separate into an ethane rich stream and a propane rich stream, steam cracking each stream to form ethylene. USPTO. Nov  23, 1999;
#Tao Ren*, Martin Patel, Kornelis Blok. Olefins from conventional and heavy feedstocks: Energy use in steam cracking and alternative processes. Energy 31 (2006) 425–451
#Towler, G.P. and Sinnot, R. (2012). Chemical Engineering Design: Principles, Practice and Economics of Plant and Process Design.Elsevier.
#Woebcke H. Process for pyrolysis of hydrocarbons. USPTO. Dec 21, 1993;
=Appendix I:Kinetic Data for Cracking Reactions=
Literature values of kinetic rate parameters can be used to simulate reaction yields of ethane cracking for different conditions. A few reactions are shown below and their corresponding Arrhenius rate parameters and activation energies are also shown. Using this data, conversion of ethane at the desired operating condition was determined for modeling in HYSYS.
[[File:A11G1.png|center|thumb|upright=4|Selected Reactions]]


[[File:A12G1.png|center|thumb|upright=4|Rate Parameters for Selected Reaction]]


=Appendix I:Kinetic Data for Cracking Reactions=
[[File:A13G1.png|center|thumb|upright=4|Simulation of Conversions at Different Conditions using Kinetic Data]]


=Appendix II:PFD=
=Appendix II:PFD=


{{Panorama
{{Panorama
|image  = File:High_Quality_PFDG1.png
|image  = File:High_Quality_PFDSmallG1.png|height  = 230px|caption = Process Flow Diagram}}
|height  = 230
|caption = Panorama of Ushuaia from 2005-02-06
}}


=Appendix III:HYSYS Simulation=
=Appendix III:HYSYS Simulation=
[[File:Final_Hysys_PictureG1.jpg|center|thumb|upright=10|HYSYS Simulation]]
 
 
{{Panorama
|image  = File:Final_Hysys_PictureSmallG1.jpg}}


=Appendix IV:Stream Tables=
=Appendix IV:Stream Tables=
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==Physical Flows==
==Physical Flows==
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
! Stream Name
! Name
! Vapour Fraction
! Vapour Fraction
! Temperature
! Temperature
Line 400: Line 426:
| kJ/kgmole
| kJ/kgmole
|-
|-
| 1.00
| 1
| 0.00
| 2E-04
| 13.63
| 1E+01
| 3300.00
| 3300
| 15444.33
| 15444
| 464963.35
| 464963
| 1304.09
| 1304
| -1451630193.03
| -1451630193
| -93991.15
| -93991
|-
|-
| 10.00
| 4
| 0.77
| 0E+00
| 85.00
| 9E+01
| 200.00
| 300
| 33151.68
| 7709
| 1504701.18
| 980186
| 2493.40
| 1015
| 146936992.00
| 835377296
| 4432.26
| 108364
|-
|-
| 11.00
| 5
| 0.00
| 1E+00
| 85.00
| 5E+01
| 200.00
| 3300
| 7704.30
| 112170
| 979574.78
| 2060447
| 1014.21
| 6495
| 834765908.14
| -6966208752
| 108350.67
| -62104
|-
|-
| 12.00
| 6
| 1.00
| 1E+00
| 85.00
| 8E+02
| 200.00
| 400
| 25447.38
| 25271
| 525126.40
| 502516
| 1479.19
| 1456
| -687828916.14
| 501704763
| -27029.46
| 19853
|-
|-
| 13.00
| 7
| 0.00
| 1E+00
| 52.17
| 4E+01
| 3200.00
| 200
| 0.00
| 115335
| 0.00
| 2137181
| 0.00
| 6574
| 0.00
| -7636729293
| -62145.69
| -66213
|-
|-
| 14.00
| 8
| 1.00
| 0E+00
| 167.28
| 1E+02
| 800.00
| 300
| 115335.33
| 172
| 2137181.35
| 22000
| 6573.61
| 23
| -7001549894.80
| 19239898
| -60706.03
| 112093
|-
|-
| 15.00
| 9
| 1.00
| 1E+00
| 85.00
| 4E+02
| 1150.00
| 300
| 115335.33
| 33152
| 2137181.35
| 1504701
| 6573.61
| 2493
| -7437971132.08
| 1356321957
| -64489.96
| 40913
|-
|-
| 16.00
| 10
| 1.00
| 8E-01
| 85.00
| 9E+01
| 1150.00
| 200
| 115329.64
| 33152
| 2136475.68
| 1504701
| 6572.87
| 2493
| -7438551228.64
| 146936992
| -64498.17
| 4432
|-
|-
| 17.00
| 11
| 0.00
| 0E+00
| 85.00
| 9E+01
| 1150.00
| 200
| 5.68
| 7704
| 705.67
| 979575
| 0.74
| 1014
| 580096.56
| 834765908
| 102048.40
| 108351
|-
|-
| 18.00
| 12
| 1.00
| 1E+00
| 193.18
| 9E+01
| 3450.00
| 200
| 115329.64
| 25447
| 2136475.68
| 525126
| 6572.87
| 1479
| -6888338395.16
| -687828916
| -59727.39
| -27029
|-
|-
| 19.00
| 13
| 0.98
| 0E+00
| 50.00
| 5E+01
| 3400.00
| 3200
| 115329.64
| 0
| 2136475.68
| 0
| 6572.87
| 0
| -7774939930.86
| 0
| -67414.93
| -62146
|-
|-
| 20.00
| 14
| 1.00
| 1E+00
| 50.00
| 2E+02
| 3400.00
| 800
| 112647.72
| 115335
| 2071082.61
| 2137181
| 6505.72
| 6574
| -7076927053.62
| -7001549895
| -62823.53
| -60706
|-
|-
| 21.00
| 15
| 0.00
| 1E+00
| 50.00
| 9E+01
| 3400.00
| 1150
| 2681.92
| 115335
| 65393.07
| 2137181
| 67.15
| 6574
| -698012877.25
| -7437971132
| -260265.89
| -64490
|-
|-
| 22.00
| 16
| 1.00
| 1E+00
| 151.85
| 9E+01
| 500.00
| 1150
| 2220.36
| 115330
| 40000.00
| 2136476
| 40.08
| 6573
| -527984562.55
| -7438551229
| -237792.37
| -64498
|-
|-
| 23.00
| 17
| 0.00
| 0E+00
| 50.00
| 9E+01
| 3300.00
| 1150
| 478.15
| 6
| 10635.15
| 706
| 10.73
| 1
| -128822521.79
| 580097
| -269417.01
| 102048
|-
|-
| 24.00
| 18
| 1.00
| 1E+00
| 815.00
| 2E+02
| 400.00
| 3450
| 17583.65
| 115330
| 502516.42
| 2136476
| 1337.33
| 6573
| -589636222.29
| -6888338395
| -33533.20
| -59727
|-
|-
| 25.00
| 19
| 0.95
| 1E+00
| 75.11
| 5E+01
| 500.00
| 3400
| 17583.65
| 115330
| 502516.42
| 2136476
| 1337.33
| 6573
| -1812856577.95
| -7774939931
| -103098.97
| -67415
|-
|-
| 26.00
| 20
| 1.00
| 1E+00
| 65.52
| 5E+01
| 3700.00
| 3400
| 112094.82
| 112648
| 2060447.45
| 2071083
| 6493.65
| 6506
| -6910462284.47
| -7076927054
| -61648.36
| -62824
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|-
| 27.00
| 21
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| 5E+01
| 3700.00
| 3400
| 112094.82
| 2682
| 2060447.45
| 65393
| 6493.65
| 67
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| -698012877
| -71871.62
| -260266
|-
|-
| 28.00
| 22
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| 2E+02
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| 500
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| 2220
| 476653.33
| 40000
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| 40
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| -527984563
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|-
| 30.00
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| 3300
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| 478
| 1583794.11
| 10635
| 4768.36
| 11
| -5851281194.57
| -128822522
| -76771.32
| -269417
|-
|-
| 31.00
| 24
| 0.00
| 1E+00
| -8.25
| 8E+02
| 3400.00
| 400
| 7159.59
| 17584
| 200932.46
| 502516
| 525.29
| 1337
| 272433957.92
| -589636222
| 38051.63
| -33533
|-
|-
| 32.00
| 25
| 0.00
| 9E-01
| 22.83
| 8E+01
| 3500.00
| 500
| 17504.95
| 17584
| 555532.88
| 502516
| 1480.21
| 1337
| -1610772980.75
| -1812856578
| -92018.16
| -103099
|-
|-
| 33.00
| 26
| 0.00
| 1E+00
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| 7E+01
| 3300.00
| 3700
| 210.96
| 112095
| 6202.83
| 2060447
| 17.04
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| -6910462284
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|-
| 35.00
| 27
| 0.00
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| 13.77
| -8E+01
| 3300.00
| 3700
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| 112095
| 458760.52
| 2060447
| 1287.04
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|-
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| 28
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| 3600
| 0.00
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| 0.00
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| 0.00
| 1725
| 0.00
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| 19852.93
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|-
| 38.00
| 30
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| 3200.00
| 3700
| 112094.82
| 76217
| 2060447.45
| 1583794
| 6493.65
| 4768
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|-
| 39.00
| 31
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| 3400
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| 7160
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| 200932
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| 525
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| 272433958
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| 38052
|-
|-
| 4.00
| 32
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| 85.03
| 2E+01
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| 3500
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| 17505
| 980185.64
| 555533
| 1014.83
| 1480
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| -92018
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|-
| 44.00
| 33
| 1.00
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| 25.00
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| 3300
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| 211
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| 6203
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|-
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| 458761
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| -1441032355
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|-
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| 400
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| 0
| 555532.88
| 0
| 1480.21
| 0
| -1675643568.80
| 0
| -95724.00
| 19853
|-
|-
| 5.00
| 38
| 1.00
| 1E+00
| 50.00
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| 3300.00
| 3200
| 112169.57
| 112095
| 2060447.46
| 2060447
| 6495.00
| 6494
| -6966208752.42
| -6966208753
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| -62146
|-
|-
| 56.00
| 39
| 0.00
| 0E+00
| 85.03
| -9E+01
| 300.00
| 3500
| 7704.30
| 51552
| 979574.78
| 827329
| 1014.21
| 2763
| 834895758.39
| -4350211034
| 108367.53
| -84384
|-
|-
| 57.00
| 44
| 1.00
| 1E+00
| 83.00
| 3E+01
| 2050.00
| 500
| 15444.33
| 15363
| 464963.35
| 462516
| 1304.09
| 1297
| -1251581174.99
| -1284872015
| -81038.24
| -83633
|-
|-
| 6.00
| 45
| 1.00
| 2E-05
| 815.00
| 1E+01
| 400.00
| 3600
| 25271.07
| 24665
| 502515.53
| 756465
| 1455.87
| 2005
| 501704762.53
| -1338904878
| 19852.93
| -54285
|-
|-
| 7.00
| 47
| 1.00
| 0E+00
| 40.31
| -7E+00
| 200.00
| 3450
| 115335.33
| 17505
| 2137181.35
| 555533
| 6573.61
| 1480
| -7636729293.24
| -1675643569
| -66213.27
| -95724
|-
|-
| 8.00
| 56
| 0.00
| 0E+00
| 95.00
| 9E+01
| 300.00
| 300
| 171.64
| 7704
| 22000.00
| 979575
| 22.70
| 1014
| 19239898.41
| 834895758
| 112092.53
| 108368
|-
|-
| 9.00
| 57
| 1.00
| 1E+00
| 358.60
| 8E+01
| 300.00
| 2050
| 33151.68
| 15444
| 1504701.18
| 464963
| 2493.40
| 1304
| 1356321956.85
| -1251581175
| 40912.62
| -81038
|-
|-
| Acid Gas
| Acid Gas
| 1.00
| 1E+00
| 35.11
| 4E+01
| 125.00
| 125
| 25.50
| 25
| 753.20
| 753
| 1.38
| 1
| -5671867.13
| -5671867
| -222457.38
| -222457
|-
|-
| Ethane Recycle
| Ethane Recycle
| 1.00
| 1E+00
| 25.00
| 3E+01
| 500.00
| 500
| 15444.33
| 15444
| 464963.35
| 464963
| 1304.09
| 1304
| -1291563706.11
| -1291563706
| -83627.05
| -83627
|-
|-
| Ethylene Product
| Ethylene Product
| 0.00
| 1E-05
| -11.15
| -1E+01
| 3200.00
| 3200
| 6948.63
| 6949
| 194729.63
| 194730
| 508.25
| 508
| 280794792.43
| 280794792
| 40410.10
| 40410
|-
|-
| Make up Amine
| Make up Amine
| 0.00
| 0E+00
| 25.50
| 3E+01
| 400.00
| 400
| 1907.26
| 1907
| 40000.00
| 40000
| 39.93
| 40
| -542957194.31
| -542957194
| -284679.91
| -284680
|-
|-
| Natural Gas
| Natural Gas
| 0.51
| 5E-01
| -100.37
| -1E+02
| 3500.00
| 3500
| 87430.28
| 87430
| 1303982.06
| 1303982
| 4488.15
| 4488
| -6624048642.65
| -6624048643
| -75763.78
| -75764
|-
|-
| Propane and Propene
| Propane and Propene
| 0.00
| 0E+00
| 75.55
| 8E+01
| 3400.00
| 3400
| 2271.58
| 2272
| 96772.36
| 96772
| 193.16
| 193
| -167499523.23
| -167499523
| -73737.11
| -73737
|-
|-
| Sour Gas
| Sour Gas
| 1.00
| 1E+00
| 35.00
| 4E+01
| 400.00
| 400
| 89187.71
| 89188
| 1600211.06
| 1600211
| 5083.37
| 5083
| -6748922057.14
| -6748922057
| -75670.99
| -75671
|-
|-
| Sweet Gas
| Sweet Gas
| 1.00
| 1E+00
| 25.10
| 3E+01
| 350.00
| 350
| 89887.95
| 89888
| 1612054.95
| 1612055
| 5094.41
| 5094
| -6948900377.10
| -6948900377
| -77306.25
| -77306
|}
|}


Line 1,616: Line 1,642:
| 0.000
| 0.000
| 0.000
| 0.000
| 0.000
| 0.0004
| 0.000
| 0.000
| 0.000
| 0.000
Line 1,723: Line 1,749:
|}
|}


=Appendix V: Capital Costs and Equipment Sizing=
=Appendix V: Heat Exchanger Network=
 
[[File:Full_Composite_CurveG1.JPG|center|thumb|upright=4|Full Composite Curve]]
[[File:Composite_Curve_for_Process_HEXG1.JPG|center|thumb|upright=4|Composite Curve for Heat Exchangers]]
[[File:HENG1.JPG|center|thumb|upright=4|Heat Exchanger Network]]
 
=Appendix VI: Capital Costs and Equipment Sizing=
{| class="wikitable"
! Group
! Component
! HYSYS estimate (USD)
! Correlated Estimate (USD)
|-
| Distillation Column
| Demethanizer1
| $15,086,000.00
|
|-
|
| Demethanizer2
| $10,066,000.00
|
|-
|
| Ethylene Recovery
| $11,686,500.00
|
|-
|
| Ethylene Purification
|
| $12,000,000.00
|-
|
| Ethane Recovery
| $3,710,300.00
|
|-
| Pressure Vessel
| Oil Flash
| $1,333,300.00
|
|-
|
| Water Flash
| $1,498,300.00
|
|-
|
| Oil Recycle Flash
| $441,100.00
|
|-
|
| CO2 Absorption column
|
| 13,000,000
|-
|
| MEA Stripper colum
|
| 13,000,000
|-
| Compressor
| pre-Demethanizer1
| $8,484,100.00
|
|-
|
| post-Oil Flash
| $25,394,700.00
|
|-
| Heat Exchanger
| pre-Demethanizer1 cooler
| $8,182,800.00
|
|-
|
| pre-Oil Flash heater
| $630,600.00
|
|-
|
| pre-Ethane Recovery cooler
| $513,700.00
|
|-
|
| pre-oil Recycle Flash cooler
| $1,125,000.00
|
|-
|
| pre-Water Flash heater
| $935,800.00
|
|-
|
| post-Ethane Recovery heater
| $349,400.00
|
|-
|
| pre-MEA stripper heater
| $670,000.00
|
|-
| Pump
| post Oil Recycle Flash
| $148,700.00
|
|-
|
| post-CO2 Absorption column
|
| $350,000.00
|-
|
| post-MEA Stripper column
|
| $350,000.00
|-
| Reactors
| Box Furnace (1 of 10)
|
| $86,360,000.00
|-
|
| Hydrogenation Reactor
|
| $13,500,000.00
|-
|
|
| $90,256,300.00
| $915,800,000.00
|-
| Subtotal
|
|
| $1,006,056,300.00
|-
| Total
|
|
| $1,257,570,375.00
|}


=Appendix VI:Utilities=
=Appendix VII:Utilities=
==Heat Exchanger Utilities==
==Heat Exchanger Utilities==


Line 1,812: Line 1,985:
|}
|}


=Appendix VII:Future Revenue Projections=
=Appendix VIII:Future Revenue Projections=
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
! Year
! Year
Line 1,885: Line 2,058:
|}
|}


=Appendix VIII: Discounted Cash Flow Statement=
=Appendix IX: Discounted Cash Flow Statement=


{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
Line 2,015: Line 2,188:
|}
|}


=Appendix IX: Sensitivity Analysis Results=
=Appendix X: Sensitivity Analysis Results=


{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"

Latest revision as of 23:46, 13 March 2015

Team G1 Final Report

Authors: Tahir Kapoor, Brandon Muncy, Alex Valdes

Instructors: Fengqi You, David Wegerer

March 13, 2015

Executive Summary

The purpose of this project was to design a natural gas processing plant integrated with an ethylene production plant. Taking raw shale gas as input, pipeline quality natural gas and polymer grade ethylene are produced in high quantities.

The plant is located in Stark County, Ohio, due to its proximity to the Marcellus Shale Region and favorable state tax rates. The Marcellus Region is a massive source of shale gas in the United States and is currently underdeveloped. The plant is designed to process 13.5 MMM kg of gas, and produce 11 MMM kg of sales gas and 1.6 MMM kg of ethylene, per annum.

The proposed design relies on industrially proven technology. Initially, acid gases in the raw gas are removed via amine absorption. Next, the sweet gas is mixed with cracked gas products and sent to flash drums and a molecular sieve column to remove heavy hydrocarbons and water. Front end dehydrogenation is then used to eliminate acetylene byproduct. Cryogenic distillation columns are then used to isolate methane, ethylene, and ethane from heavier hydrocarbons (C3+). Methane and ethylene are sold as product, and ethane is recycled to the cracking furnace. Natural gas combustion within the furnace raises temperatures high enough to induce the cracking reaction that converts ethane to ethylene. The cracked gas effluent is rapidly quenched with heavy oil and water before being mixed with the sweet shale gas. These operations were simulated in Aspen HYSYS v8.0.

Based on HYSYS economic analyzer and commonly used correlations, the following cost data was calculated: capital cost (equipment purchase and installation) 1.2-1.6 MMM USD, fixed operating cost 0.10 MMM USD, and variable operating cost (heating/cooling utilities, electricity, and raw materials) 2.0 MMM USD. Total revenue from selling sales gas, ethylene, and other side products at current prices is 2.1 MMM USD. However, commodities futures from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange predict that oil and ethylene prices will rebound from their recent drop. Based on these futures, revenue is expected to be approximately 2.9 MMM USD on average between 2017-2026. Assuming plant construction takes two years, and production begins the third year, the net present value over twelve years is 1.2 MMM USD, with a payback period of six years. It is very important to note that the cost estimations are extremely sensitive to commodities prices and future energy crises can greatly impact profitability. A sustained 11% fall in natural gas prices over the projected revenues will result in a net present value of 0 USD.

This design analysis is a reasonable starting point in terms of evaluating essential process technology, equipment setup, and cost estimation. However, this analysis does not consider many aspects, notably process controls or detailed reactor design. Therefore, more research is necessary before the design is complete and the plant is ready for construction.

Introduction

The goal of this project is to design a process for the manufacture of ethylene from shale gas. Ethylene is a fundamental chemical in the production of various important polymers, including poly(ethylene terephthalate), low density polyethylene, and high density polyethylene. For this reason, ethylene is the most produced organic chemical in the world and demand will soon surpass 200 million metric tons per year.

Market Analysis and Design Basis

The Marcellus shale in the northeastern states contains the largest reserve of natural gas in America. It is estimated that 141 trillion cubic feet of gas reserves are present in the Marcellus shale (Chang & You, 2014). Gas production in the Marcellus shale was insignificant before 2008, but has rapidly risen to be one of the most important areas in the American energy industry with over 14 billion cubic feet of gas being extracted every day in 2014 (EIA, 2013). As a result of this rapid energy boom in the Marcellus shale region, gas processing infrastructure has not been able to keep up with the amount of gas being extracted and much of the processing that is done to the raw shale gas occurs on refineries located in either the east coast or the gulf coast.

Due to the infant nature of gas processing infrastructure in the Marcellus region, it is very attractive to build a processing plant directly on the Marcellus shale. Eastern Ohio provides a good location for a new large scale gas processing plant due to the presence of several major pipelines (which West Virginia lacks) and favorable taxes. Ohio has a gross receipts tax of 0.26% compared to a 9.99% corporate tax rate in Pennsylvania and a 7.1% rate in New York (Ohio Dept. of Taxation, 2010). Ohio is also a good location for a large capital investment due to generally lax hydraulic fracturing regulations compared to other more progressive states in the Marcellus shale. Stark County is an ideal location within Ohio due to lower county taxes (6.50%) and its close proximity to Pittsburgh, where most existing wells are located. Stark county also has the added benefit of having existing gas pipeline infrastructure running through it, minimizing potential capital expenditure.

Due to the size of the immense reserves in the Marcellus shale and the void of natural gas processing plants, a large volume plant would be demanded to cope with the rising number of shale wells. Current liquefied natural gas (LNG) plants in the northeast can process 60,000 barrels per day (bpd) while production of gas from the Marcellus shale in 2016 is forecast to exceed 650,000 bpd (EIA, 2013). Due to this large discrepancy between projected production and existing capacity, a large gulf coast LNG plant was used for capacity determination (Freeport, Texas LNG terminal will refine up to 2.1 bcf of gas per day). By this comparison and the capability of the market to handle large volumes of ethylene production, the plant should be designed for the processing of 2 billion cubic feet (38 MM kg) of raw shale gas per day. Current use of ethylene is around 156 million tonnes/year worldwide. Targeting around 1% of this market would yield a plant producing around 1.5 million tonnes of ethylene per year, which is also near the size of larger plants in Texas. These large Gulf plants were used because the Marcellus shale region is underdeveloped so a comparison to existing plants in the region would fail to account for forecasted growth in the area.

Currently, a weak energy market threatens production of oil and gas from the Marcellus shale. A supply glut of oil has led to greatly reduced oil prices and a decline in investment in non-traditional oil fields such as shale oil. Higher production costs of shale oil reduce profitability when compared to cheaper drilling in the Middle East. Along with the decline in oil prices, natural gas and refined products such as ethylene have also experience dramatic fall in prices. It is important to consider the instability in oil prices when analyzing the benefit of a large, long term capital investment. Sustained low oil prices will reduce investment in the Marcellus shale region and will decrease gas production volumes. Despite these risks, the large gap in gas production and gas processing capacity in the Marcellus shale indicate that there is a market for a new gas purification plant.

Design Basis

Based on analyzing the current market, our design will be based on the following production targets.

Production Targets
Component Annual Production (MMkg/Year)
Shale Gas 13,300
Pipeline Quality Natural Gas < 11,000
Ethylene < 1,500

Process Technologies and Alternatives

Natural Gas Processing

Raw shale gas pipelined from reservoir or wellheads is first flash separated into oil and gas components. Next, the gas goes through an acid gas absorption process using amine solvent technology. The sour gas goes through sulfur recovery and tail gas cleanup processes to convert hydrogen sulfide to elemental sulfur. The sweet gas has water vapor can be removed (dehydration) by adsorption with liquid triethylene glycol or by using molecular sieves (Chang & You, 2013) The dry gas is then cryogenically distilled to separate NGLs from methane. The methane must be cryogenically distilled again to remove excess nitrogen before being sold as sales gas for heating. In order to isolate the ethane from other NGLs, a series of distillation columns are used in a fractionation train. The ethane is then pipelined to a local ethylene plant to be converted to ethylene.

Steam Cracking

Steam cracking to produce olefins has been the industry standard for decades, but many process details can be tweaked for specific production goals. Steam cracking involves diluting saturated hydrocarbons with steam and heating up to high temperatures in the absence of oxygen to produce smaller hydrocarbons and unsaturated olefins. Factors such as temperature, pressure, and residence time all have effects on the cracking reaction (Tao, 2006).

One of the most important considerations is selectivity of cracked products. Heavy hydrocarbons readily decompose to various molecules, but even a highly pure stream of ethane can form many different molecules at high temperatures. This process focuses on maximizing the selectivity of ethylene product. Both temperature and residence time heavily affect the selectivity. Higher temperatures increase ethane conversion since ethane to ethylene is an equilibrium limited reaction, but it also decreases selectivity of ethylene (Kistiakowsky, 1951). Furthermore, at high residence times, the reaction forms byproducts like acetylene and methane. It has been found that ideal conditions for ethylene selectivity are temperatures between 750 and 850 C and residence times of 200 to 500 milliseconds (Woebcke, 1993). It is important to quench the reactor effluent quickly to avoid continued reactions. To remove a vast amount of heat in a very short time, heavy heating oils are commonly injected into the effluent stream and separated later. Additionally, pressure plays a limited role in this reaction, but many literature sources and patents reference reaction pressures of 2 barg or 0.25 barg at the outlet (Sims, 1999).

One alternative to steam cracking is microwave cracking. At laboratory scale, high conversions and high ethylene selectivity have been obtained. Rather than using a furnace to heat the gas, 2.45 GHz microwaves are capable of energy efficient heating. Although this technology is currently still in development, it has the potential to cut back on energy input costs of cracking applications in the future (Ceralink Inc., 2012).

The process below integrates the ethylene plant with natural gas processing. Therefore, a front-end hydrogenation reactor is placed before the fractionation train to remove acetylene. This reactor may hold palladium, platinum, or rhodium catalyst (Bos, 1993; Rylander, 2012), or may be replaced altogether with a selective absorber using DMF, NMP, or acetone (Institute Francais Du Petrole, 2012). Additionally, another cryogenic distillation column is added to the fractionation train to isolate ethylene. Alternatively, ethylene can be absorbed with novel solvents such as CuCl/aniline/n-methyl pyrrolidone or AgNO3.

Process Overview

Based on our analysis of technology alternatives and research into existing processes, the process was modeled after the following block flow diagram.

Capture.jpg

Process Simulation

Simulation Basis

Two fluid packages were needed for accurate simulation of the various sections of the process. The Peng-Robinson (PR) fluid package was selected as the default because the process contains mainly non-polar hydrocarbons. Thus, there are no strongly polar interactions such as hydrogen bonding present in the process. The PR equation of state (EOS) can accurately simulate these compounds without requiring supplementary data, unlike many other EOS.

In addition to the PR EOS, the Amine fluid package was necessary for the acid gas absorption/stripping system. This package can model behavior of the solvent monoethanolamine, which chemically absorbs carbon dioxide from raw shale gas.

To achieve the desired production of 1.5 MM metric tons of ethylene per year, 1.6 MM kg/hr of raw sour wet gas feedstock from the marcellus shale is required, assuming a continuously operating plant for 50 weeks per year.

Simulation Assumptions

In this initial process simulation, a few assumptions were made to generate our system model. The feed composition was set using data collected from a fracking well in western Pennsylvania and is shown in the table below.

Composition of Inlet Gas
Component Mole Fraction
Methane 82.80%
Ethane 14.30%
Propane 2.50%
Nitrogen 0.40%
CO2 0.04%
H2S >10 PPM

The most notable assumption, to simplify the cracking furnace, the reactor was modeled as a conversion reactor rather than a more realistic kinetic reactor. Conversion data from literature values of similar cracking simulations are shown below.

Conversion data for Ethane Cracking

Many of the smaller side reactions were not added to further simplify the simulations. Our simulated cracking reaction only included ethylene, methane, propylene, butadiene, and hydrogen products. More detailed simulations in the future could utilize a more advanced kinetic reactors and include side products such as benzene and C4+ hydrocarbons. Many less impactful assumptions were made throughout the process simulation. The reactor was assumed to be an ideal, isothermal reactor with no coking. A single cracking reactor was also used in the simulation while it will actually consist of 8-10 crackers in parallel due to limitations on furnace size, maintenance, and feed surge requirements. The molecular sieve used to remove trace amounts of water was modeled as a fractionator that completely removes any water. It was assumed that no reactions occur outside of the cracking and hydrogenation reactors, which was completely converts all acetylene to ethylene. These are reasonable assumptions due to rapid quenching after the cracking process and the use of a selective solid catalyst in the hydrogenation reactor.

Process Simulation

An overview of the process simulation is shown below. More stream tables and figures can be found in the appendix.

Simulation in Aspen HYSYS V 8.0

Economic Analysis

Capital Costs

Capital cost estimates were obtained by using HYSYS economic analyzer and correlations from Towler and Sinnott for equipment units HYSYS failed to cost. By summing individual equipment components, and adding a 25% correction factor, total capital cost was estimated to be ~1.2 billion USD. Additionally, Towler and Sinnott includes an overall correlation for building a natural gas processing and ethane cracking plant, which yielded an estimate of ~1.6 billion USD. The equipment and installation cost of the 10 fired heaters comprises most of the capital expenditure, at ~85% of estimated capital cost. This makes sense as these units operate at 815℃ for extended periods of time, and even under careful operating conditions should be shut down and cleaned every 3-4 weeks to inhibit coking.

Operating Costs

Total operating costs were determined to be $2,122 (MM) by summing together the individual components of operating costs. Both variable operating costs and fixed operating costs were considered.

Fixed Operating Costs

Operating costs were split into fixed and variable operating costs. Fixed operating costs were largely calculated as an annual percentage of capital cost. Maintenance costs, property taxes and insurance, labor cost, management costs, and labor overhead were all included in fixed operating costs. All fixed operating costs were based on design principles in Towler and Sinnott.

Fixed Operating Costs
Cost Component Cost ($MM) Reasoning
Maintenance $62.88 5% of Capital Cost
Property Taxes and Insurance $25.15 2% of Capital Cost
Environmental Charges $12.58 1% of Capital Costs
Labor Cost $1.50 10 Employees per Shift
Management Cost $0.60 40% of Labor Cost
Labor Overhead $1.26 60% of Labor and Management costs
Total Fixed Costs $103.97

Variable Operating Costs

The primary components of variable operating costs consisted of heating and cooling utilities, electricity costs from condensers and pumps, waste disposal costs, and raw material costs. After a heat exchanger network was developed and process heat recovery was optimized, total heating and cooling utility loads were extracted from ASPEN Energy Analyzer. Cost parameters for each type of utility were also estimated using data retrieved from ASPEN Energy Analyzer. Electricity costs were estimated using energy stream data from HYSYS and assuming a cost of electricity of $0.0662 per kW*hr - the average cost of industrial electricity in Ohio (EIA, 2015).

Utilities Costs
Utilities Cost ($MM) Load (kJ/hr) Cost ($/kJ)
Refrigerant 1 (C2H6) $39 1.70E+09 0.000002739
Refrigerant 4 (C2H4) $194 2.70E+09 0.000008531
Water $2 1.40E+09 2.125E-07
Fired Heat $68 1.90E+09 0.000004249
100 PSI Steam $55 3.40E+09 0.0000019
Electricity $189 1.22E+09 0.0662 ($/kWhr)
Total $547

The final component of variable operating cost was the cost of raw materials and waste processing. Waste water treatment was assumed to cost $1.5 per metric ton (Towler $ Sinnott, 2012). Our process inputs consist primarily of raw shale gas but also include water, MEA, and crude oil. The price of water was estimated from industrial water pricing in Ohio and the price of MEA was estimated using industrial suppliers from Alibaba. Raw shale gas costs can vary drastically depending on location, but were estimated using data from Morningstar’s energy observer (Morningstar, 2014). Wet gas costs in the Marcellus shale are among the cheapest in america and range from 1-3 dollars per thousand cubic feet of gas. Using the average value of $2 per thousand cubic feet, the cost per kilogram of raw shale gas was calculated.

Raw Material Costs
Raw Material Cost ($MM) Cost ($/KG) Usage (Millions of KG/Year)
Shale Gas $1,396 0.104 13440
Oil $66 0.368 184.8
Water $0.30 0.0007769 $336.00
MEA $5 1.6 3.36
Waste Disposal $1 0.0015 644.7
Total $1,468.30

Estimating Revenues

Due to the extreme volatility in commodities pricing, revenues were not projected to be constant over the lifetime of the plant. Revenues were estimated using current commodities prices and futures from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). Future revenue estimations are shown in Appendix VIII. An example of revenue calculations using current prices is shown below.

Example Revenue Projections
Product Revenue Price($/kg) Production (Millions of KG/Year)
Sales Gas $1,557 0.1421 10953.6
Polymer Grade Ethylene $256 0.1568 1635.48
Propane and Higher $263 0.3232 812.95
Total $2,070

Based on these futures, revenue is expected to be approximately $2,900 MM on average between 2017-2026.

Profitability Analysis

Once all cost estimations were completed, a discounted cash flow analysis was performed to examine the economic viability of the process. The discount rate and corporate tax rate used for our analysis was determined by averaging the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) and corporate tax rates for a few large integrated oil and oil refining corporations. All data was retrieved via filings from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC, 2015). (Total S.A. was not included in the tax average due to an unusually high tax rate in 2014)

WACC and Corporate Tax Rates for Publicly Listed Oil Corporations
Company WACC Tax Rate
Exxon Mobil 11.08% 41.18%
Chevron 11.09% 36.46%
BP 9.67% 29.99%
Total 8.36% 60.04%
Valero 15.39% 37.29%
Phillips 66 14.96% 33.49%
Average 11.76% 35.68%

Capital costs were depreciated over five years using MACRS depreciation and 1.5% annual inflation was added to operating costs. It was also assumed that the plant would take two years to build, all capital costs would come in the first two years, and production would start in the third year and last 10 years. It is extremely likely that a large scale chemical plant will be in operation for well over 10 years, but due to uncertainties in both commodities prices and future regulation against fossil fuels the model was only projected for 10 years of production.

Economic Analysis Results
Net Present Value ($MM) $1,206.60
IRR 28.99%
Discounted Payback Period 6 Years
Cumulative Cash Flow Diagram

Our initial cost estimations show that our process will be profitable in the long run as shown by a positive net present value and that the discounted payback period will be 6 years. It is very important to note that the cost estimations are extremely sensitive to commodities prices and future energy crises can greatly impact profitability.

Sensitivity Analysis

NPV Sensitivity to Natural gas price fluctuations

If natural gas prices prices fall over 11%, the 12 year NPV will become negative. It is important to consider using financial instruments to hedge against commodity price declines and to ensure a positive net present value in a volatile future.

Conclusion and Future Steps

Using HYSYS, our integrated natural gas processing and ethylene production plants were simulated and we now have reasonable initial estimates of essential mass, energy, and equipment requirements. Additionally, using HYSYS economic analyzer and other correlations, we were able size and roughly determine the cost of building and operating the entire process. Although capital costs represent a significant investment relative to yearly revenue (~1.2-1.6 MMM$ versus ~2 MMM$), the most important factor in profitability is the price of obtaining raw shale gas. This price is volatile and sometimes difficult to determine. However, we are optimistic that the price of raw shale will decrease, and ethylene and crude oil prices will increase, to more normal levels. This analysis shows the significant economic potential of this plant over the long run.

Due to time constraints, there are some features of this topic that were left to be investigated further:

  • More detailed reactor models
    • Use kinetic parameters from literature to simulate cracking reaction
    • Investigate imperfect heat and mass transfer effects in the coils of the fired heater
    • Model hydrogenation reactor as a trickle bed reactor
  • Find industrial data or use more detailed estimate for maintenance cost, especially for upkeep of fired heaters
  • Optimize oil quench to minimize amount of makeup oil
  • Simulate molecular sieve in HYSYS instead of using a fractionator (black box model)
  • Implement process controls to ensure safety and product specifications
    • Fired heater and cryogenic distillation columns operate at extreme temperatures and pressures - robust controls are necessary to safely operate these units industrially

References

  1. A Kinetic Modelling Study of Ethane Cracking for Optimal Ethylene Yield, Marco W. M. van Goethem, Simon Barendregt, Johan Grievink, Peter J. T. Verheijen, Mario Dente, and Eliseo Ranzi. Chemical Engineering Research & Design 2013, 91 (6), 1106–1110.
  2. Annual Energy Outlook 2014 Early Release Overview. U.S. Energy Information Administration. Available at: http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/er/index.cfm. Published December 16, 2013. Accessed January 16, 2015.
  3. A.N.R. Bos, K.R. Westerterp, Mechanism and kinetics of the selective hydrogenation of ethyne and ethene, Chemical Engineering and Processing: Process Intensification, Volume 32, Issue 1, February 1993, Pages 1-7, ISSN 0255-2701. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/025527019387001B
  4. BP Chemicals, (1999). Steam Cracking of Ethane-Rich and Propane-Rich Streams. 5,990,370.
  5. Ceralink Inc. MICROWAVE ENHANCED CRACKING OF ETHANE FOR ETHYLENE PRODUCTION http://www.ceralink.com/sites/default/files/MicrowaveCrackingofEthaneforEthyleneProductionPaper.pdf
  6. Chang He and Fengqi You. Shale Gas Processing Integrated with Ethylene Production: Novel Process Designs, Exergy Analysis, and Techno-Economic Analysis. Industrial & Engineering Chemisit try Research 2014 53 (28)
  7. Composition Variety Complicates Processing Plans for US Shale Gas. Bryan Research and Engineering Inc. https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=2&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CCUQFjAB&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bre.com%2Fportals%2F0%2Ftechnicalarticles%2FKeith%2520Bullin%2520-%2520Composition%2520Variety_%2520US%2520Shale%2520Gas.pdf&ei=iJK5VNDINsiBygT_oYHADQ&usg=AFQjCNHZN24hWnJ1py42hprY2D2ZktnhxQ&bvm=bv.83829542,d.aWw. Presented October 7, 2008.
  8. Electric Power Monthly. U.S. Energy Information Administration, n.d. Web. http://www.eia.gov/electricity/monthly/epm_table_grapher.cfm?t=epmt_5_6_a. 03 Mar. 2015.
  9. Energy Observer. Morningstar (2014): n. pag. Feb. 2014. Web. http://marcelluscoalition.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/Morning-Star_EnergyObserverFebruary2014.pdf 3 Mar. 2015.
  10. "Filings & Forms." SEC.gov. U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, n.d. Web. http://www.sec.gov/edgar.shtml#.VPZ5-_nF-uo 03 Mar. 2015.
  11. Kistiakowsky, G and Nickle, A. Ethane-Ethylene and Propane-Propylene Equilibrium, Discuss. Faraday Soc., 1951,10, 175-187
  12. Leading Plant Supply Monoethanolamine/mea 99.5% www.alibaba.com. Web. N.p., n.d. http://www.alibaba.com/product-detail/Leading-plant-supply-monoethanolamine-MEA-99_60105839973.html?s=p. 03 Mar. 2015.
  13. Ohio Corporation Franchise Tax Annual Report 2010. Ohio Department of Taxation. Available at: http://www.tax.ohio.gov/portals/0/communications/publications/annual_reports/2010_annual_report/corporation_franchise_tax. Published December 15, 2010. Accessed January 16, 2015.
  14. Paul Rylander. Catalytic Hydrogenation over Platinum Metals. https://books.google.com/books?id=NPgzMIHISv0C. Published 2012 \
  15. Process for separating ethane and ethylene by solvent absorption and hydrogenation of the solvent phase. Institute Francais Du Petrole. http://www.google.com/patents/US6358399. Published March 19, 2002.
  16. Sims D. Pre-fractionating the feedstock to separate into an ethane rich stream and a propane rich stream, steam cracking each stream to form ethylene. USPTO. Nov 23, 1999;
  17. Tao Ren*, Martin Patel, Kornelis Blok. Olefins from conventional and heavy feedstocks: Energy use in steam cracking and alternative processes. Energy 31 (2006) 425–451
  18. Towler, G.P. and Sinnot, R. (2012). Chemical Engineering Design: Principles, Practice and Economics of Plant and Process Design.Elsevier.
  19. Woebcke H. Process for pyrolysis of hydrocarbons. USPTO. Dec 21, 1993;

Appendix I:Kinetic Data for Cracking Reactions

Literature values of kinetic rate parameters can be used to simulate reaction yields of ethane cracking for different conditions. A few reactions are shown below and their corresponding Arrhenius rate parameters and activation energies are also shown. Using this data, conversion of ethane at the desired operating condition was determined for modeling in HYSYS.

Selected Reactions
Rate Parameters for Selected Reaction
Simulation of Conversions at Different Conditions using Kinetic Data

Appendix II:PFD

{{#if:Process Flow Diagram|
Process Flow Diagram
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Appendix III:HYSYS Simulation

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Appendix IV:Stream Tables

Physical Flows

Name Vapour Fraction Temperature Pressure Molar Flow Mass Flow Std Ideal Liq Vol Flow Heat Flow Molar Enthalpy
Unit C kPa kgmole/h kg/h m3/h kJ/h kJ/kgmole
1 2E-04 1E+01 3300 15444 464963 1304 -1451630193 -93991
4 0E+00 9E+01 300 7709 980186 1015 835377296 108364
5 1E+00 5E+01 3300 112170 2060447 6495 -6966208752 -62104
6 1E+00 8E+02 400 25271 502516 1456 501704763 19853
7 1E+00 4E+01 200 115335 2137181 6574 -7636729293 -66213
8 0E+00 1E+02 300 172 22000 23 19239898 112093
9 1E+00 4E+02 300 33152 1504701 2493 1356321957 40913
10 8E-01 9E+01 200 33152 1504701 2493 146936992 4432
11 0E+00 9E+01 200 7704 979575 1014 834765908 108351
12 1E+00 9E+01 200 25447 525126 1479 -687828916 -27029
13 0E+00 5E+01 3200 0 0 0 0 -62146
14 1E+00 2E+02 800 115335 2137181 6574 -7001549895 -60706
15 1E+00 9E+01 1150 115335 2137181 6574 -7437971132 -64490
16 1E+00 9E+01 1150 115330 2136476 6573 -7438551229 -64498
17 0E+00 9E+01 1150 6 706 1 580097 102048
18 1E+00 2E+02 3450 115330 2136476 6573 -6888338395 -59727
19 1E+00 5E+01 3400 115330 2136476 6573 -7774939931 -67415
20 1E+00 5E+01 3400 112648 2071083 6506 -7076927054 -62824
21 0E+00 5E+01 3400 2682 65393 67 -698012877 -260266
22 1E+00 2E+02 500 2220 40000 40 -527984563 -237792
23 0E+00 5E+01 3300 478 10635 11 -128822522 -269417
24 1E+00 8E+02 400 17584 502516 1337 -589636222 -33533
25 9E-01 8E+01 500 17584 502516 1337 -1812856578 -103099
26 1E+00 7E+01 3700 112095 2060447 6494 -6910462284 -61648
27 5E-01 -8E+01 3700 112095 2060447 6494 -8056436099 -71872
28 1E+00 -1E+02 3600 35878 476653 1725 -2273837609 -63377
30 0E+00 -7E+01 3700 76217 1583794 4768 -5851281195 -76771
31 2E-05 -8E+00 3400 7160 200932 525 272433958 38052
32 0E+00 2E+01 3500 17505 555533 1480 -1610772981 -92018
33 3E-06 5E+00 3300 211 6203 17 -10597838 -50237
35 0E+00 1E+01 3300 15233 458761 1287 -1441032355 -94597
37 0E+00 8E+02 400 0 0 0 0 19853
38 1E+00 5E+01 3200 112095 2060447 6494 -6966208753 -62146
39 0E+00 -9E+01 3500 51552 827329 2763 -4350211034 -84384
44 1E+00 3E+01 500 15363 462516 1297 -1284872015 -83633
45 2E-05 1E+01 3600 24665 756465 2005 -1338904878 -54285
47 0E+00 -7E+00 3450 17505 555533 1480 -1675643569 -95724
56 0E+00 9E+01 300 7704 979575 1014 834895758 108368
57 1E+00 8E+01 2050 15444 464963 1304 -1251581175 -81038
Acid Gas 1E+00 4E+01 125 25 753 1 -5671867 -222457
Ethane Recycle 1E+00 3E+01 500 15444 464963 1304 -1291563706 -83627
Ethylene Product 1E-05 -1E+01 3200 6949 194730 508 280794792 40410
Make up Amine 0E+00 3E+01 400 1907 40000 40 -542957194 -284680
Natural Gas 5E-01 -1E+02 3500 87430 1303982 4488 -6624048643 -75764
Propane and Propene 0E+00 8E+01 3400 2272 96772 193 -167499523 -73737
Sour Gas 1E+00 4E+01 400 89188 1600211 5083 -6748922057 -75671
Sweet Gas 1E+00 3E+01 350 89888 1612055 5094 -6948900377 -77306

Composition Tables

All Compositions are in Mole Fractions

Stream Ethane Hydrogen Ethylene CO2 H2O 13-Butadiene Propene Acetylene Nitrogen Propane Methane Naphthalene i-Butane MEAmine
1 0.987 0.000 0.009 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
4 0.004 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.990 0.000 0.000
5 0.137 0.068 0.062 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.006 0.001 0.005 0.013 0.707 0.000 0.000 0.000
6 0.269 0.302 0.277 0.000 0.088 0.000 0.028 0.003 0.000 0.001 0.032 0.000 0.000 0.000
7 0.134 0.066 0.061 0.000 0.026 0.000 0.006 0.001 0.005 0.013 0.688 0.002 0.000 0.000
8 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000 0.000 0.000
9 0.206 0.230 0.212 0.000 0.067 0.000 0.021 0.002 0.000 0.001 0.025 0.235 0.000 0.000
10 0.206 0.230 0.212 0.000 0.067 0.000 0.021 0.002 0.000 0.001 0.025 0.235 0.000 0.000
11 0.004 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.990 0.000 0.000
12 0.268 0.299 0.275 0.000 0.087 0.000 0.027 0.003 0.000 0.001 0.032 0.007 0.000 0.000
13 0.137 0.067 0.063 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.006 0.000 0.005 0.013 0.708 0.000 0.000 0.000
14 0.134 0.066 0.061 0.000 0.026 0.000 0.006 0.001 0.005 0.013 0.688 0.002 0.000 0.000
15 0.134 0.066 0.061 0.000 0.026 0.000 0.006 0.001 0.005 0.013 0.688 0.002 0.000 0.000
16 0.134 0.066 0.061 0.000 0.026 0.000 0.006 0.001 0.005 0.013 0.688 0.001 0.000 0.000
17 0.012 0.000 0.004 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.014 0.960 0.000 0.003
18 0.134 0.066 0.061 0.000 0.026 0.000 0.006 0.001 0.005 0.013 0.688 0.001 0.000 0.000
19 0.134 0.066 0.061 0.000 0.026 0.000 0.006 0.001 0.005 0.013 0.688 0.001 0.000 0.000
20 0.137 0.068 0.062 0.000 0.004 0.000 0.006 0.001 0.005 0.013 0.704 0.000 0.000 0.000
21 0.003 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.934 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.003 0.057 0.000 0.000
22 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
23 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.961 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.038 0.000 0.001
24 0.863 0.000 0.008 0.000 0.126 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
25 0.863 0.000 0.008 0.000 0.126 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
26 0.137 0.067 0.063 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.006 0.000 0.005 0.013 0.708 0.000 0.000 0.000
27 0.137 0.067 0.063 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.006 0.000 0.005 0.013 0.708 0.000 0.000 0.000
28 0.000 0.210 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.016 0.000 0.774 0.000 0.000 0.000
30 0.202 0.000 0.093 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.009 0.000 0.000 0.019 0.676 0.000 0.000 0.000
31 0.021 0.000 0.975 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.000 0.000
32 0.872 0.000 0.004 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.040 0.000 0.000 0.085 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
33 0.669 0.000 0.331 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
35 0.992 0.000 0.004 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
37 0.269 0.302 0.277 0.000 0.088 0.000 0.028 0.003 0.000 0.001 0.032 0.000 0.000 0.000
38 0.137 0.067 0.063 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.006 0.000 0.005 0.013 0.708 0.000 0.000 0.000
39 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 1.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
44 0.987 0.000 0.009 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
45 0.625 0.000 0.286 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.028 0.000 0.000 0.060 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000
47 0.872 0.000 0.004 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.040 0.000 0.000 0.085 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
56 0.004 0.000 0.003 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.990 0.000 0.000
57 0.987 0.000 0.009 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Acid Gas 0.065 0.000 0.000 0.438 0.045 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.009 0.442 0.000 0.000 0.000
Ethane Recycle 0.987 0.000 0.009 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Ethylene Product 0.002 0.000 0.994 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.004 0.000 0.000 0.000
Make up Amine 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.931 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.069
Natural Gas 0.000 0.086 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.007 0.000 0.907 0.000 0.000 0.000
Propane and Propene 0.067 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.290 0.000 0.000 0.639 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Sour Gas 0.096 0.000 0.000 0.0004 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.006 0.016 0.880 0.000 0.000 0.000
Sweet Gas 0.096 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.008 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.006 0.016 0.873 0.000 0.000 0.000

Energy Tables

Name Heat Flow (kJ/h)
Q-102 1.22E+09
Q-103 -1.81E+07
Q-104 5.72E+08
Q-105 5.03E+08
Q-106 5.57E+07
Q-107 1.15E+09
Q-108 1.42E+09
Q-109 1.42E+09
Q-110 6.49E+07
Q-111 6.35E+08
Q-112 5.77E+08
Q-113 1.09E+09
Q-114 1.21E+09
Q-115 9.57E+08
Q-116 5.10E+08
Q-117 7.95E+08
Q-118 2.58E+08
Q-119 5.50E+08
Q-120 2.56E+08
Q-124 1.30E+05
Q-125 2.00E+08
Q-126 4.00E+07
Q-127 -8.87E+08
Q-128 -4.36E+08

Appendix V: Heat Exchanger Network

Full Composite Curve
Composite Curve for Heat Exchangers
Heat Exchanger Network

Appendix VI: Capital Costs and Equipment Sizing

Group Component HYSYS estimate (USD) Correlated Estimate (USD)
Distillation Column Demethanizer1 $15,086,000.00
Demethanizer2 $10,066,000.00
Ethylene Recovery $11,686,500.00
Ethylene Purification $12,000,000.00
Ethane Recovery $3,710,300.00
Pressure Vessel Oil Flash $1,333,300.00
Water Flash $1,498,300.00
Oil Recycle Flash $441,100.00
CO2 Absorption column 13,000,000
MEA Stripper colum 13,000,000
Compressor pre-Demethanizer1 $8,484,100.00
post-Oil Flash $25,394,700.00
Heat Exchanger pre-Demethanizer1 cooler $8,182,800.00
pre-Oil Flash heater $630,600.00
pre-Ethane Recovery cooler $513,700.00
pre-oil Recycle Flash cooler $1,125,000.00
pre-Water Flash heater $935,800.00
post-Ethane Recovery heater $349,400.00
pre-MEA stripper heater $670,000.00
Pump post Oil Recycle Flash $148,700.00
post-CO2 Absorption column $350,000.00
post-MEA Stripper column $350,000.00
Reactors Box Furnace (1 of 10) $86,360,000.00
Hydrogenation Reactor $13,500,000.00
$90,256,300.00 $915,800,000.00
Subtotal $1,006,056,300.00
Total $1,257,570,375.00

Appendix VII:Utilities

Heat Exchanger Utilities

Utility Type Cost ($MM) KJ/Hr Cost/KJ
Water $2.46 1.378E+09 0.0000002125
Refrigerant 1 $1.50 65010000 0.000002739
Refrigerant 4 $95.59 1.33E+09 0.000008531
Fired Heat $68.07 1.91E+09 0.000004249
100 PSI Steam $0.52 32820000 0.0000019
Total $168.14

Distillation Condensers and Reboilers Utility Usage

Utility Type Cost ($MM) KJ/Hr Cost/KJ
Refrigerant 1 $37.91 1.65E+09 2.74E-06
Refrigerant 4 $98.15 1.37E+09 8.53E-06
Water $0.01 4.76E+06 2.13E-07
100 PSI Steam $54.10 3.39E+09 0.0000019
Total $190.17

Electricity Costs

Cost ($MM) Energy Load (kJ/hr) Unit Cost of Electricity ($/kWhr)
Electricity Costs $188.53 1.22E+09 0.0662

Appendix VIII:Future Revenue Projections

Year 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Sales Gas cost ($/kg) 2.71 3.27 3.62 3.80 3.90 3.99 4.10 4.24 4.37 4.49 4.63 4.63
Polymer Grade Ethylene Cost ($/kg) 0.34 0.34 0.36 0.38 0.39 0.40 0.41 0.42 0.44 0.45 0.46 0.46
Propane and Higher Cost ($/kg) 0.61 0.66 0.66 0.67 0.68 0.70 0.72 0.74 0.77 0.79 0.81 0.81
Total Revenue (MM) $2069 $2409 $2628 $2753 $2818 $2889 $2965 $3065 $3163 $3251 $3350 $3350

Appendix IX: Discounted Cash Flow Statement

Year: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Revenue $ 2,628.00 $ 2,753.00 $ 2,818.00 $ 2,889.00 $ 2,965.00 $ 3,065.00 $ 3,163.00 $ 3,251.00 $ 3,350.00 $ 3,350.00
Capital Expenditures $(629.00) $ (629.00) $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ -
Operating Costs $ - $ - $(2,186.00) $(2,219.00) $(2,252.00) $(2,286.00) $(2,320.00) $(2,355.00) $(2,390.00) $(2,426.00) $(2,463.00) $(2,500.00)
Depreciation $ - $ - $ (252.00) $ (402.00) $ (241.00) $ (145.00) $ (145.00) $ (72.00) $ - $ - $ - $ -
Taxes $ - $ - $ (68.00) $ (47.00) $ (116.00) $ (163.00) $ (178.00) $ (228.00) $ (276.00) $ (294.00) $ (317.00) $ (304.00)
Free Cash Flow $(629.00) $ (629.00) $ 374.00 $ 487.00 $ 450.00 $ 439.00 $ 467.00 $ 483.00 $ 497.00 $ 531.00 $ 571.00 $ 547.00
Present Value FCF $(629.00) $ (563.00) $ 299.00 $ 349.00 $ 289.00 $ 252.00 $ 239.00 $ 222.00 $ 204.00 $ 195.00 $ 188.00 $ 161.00
Cumulative FCF $(629.00) $(1,191.00) $ (892.00) $ (543.00) $ (254.00) $ (2.00) $ 237.00 $ 459.00 $ 663.00 $ 858.00 $ 1,046.00 $ 1,207.00

Appendix X: Sensitivity Analysis Results

Fall in Commodities Prices NPV (MM)
0% $ 1,207
1% $ 1,110
2% $ 1,013
3% $ 916
4% $ 819
5% $ 721
6% $ 617
7% $ 513
8% $ 404
9% $ 292
10% $ 181
11% $ 70
12% $ (45)
13% $ (163)
14% $ (280)
15% $ (398)
16% $ (517)
17% $ (641)
18% $ (770)
19% $ (900)
20% $ (1,029)